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Knockbreda vs Ards

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2023/2024
Knockbreda Logo

Knockbreda

0 - 3
FT
Ards Logo

Ards

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Steele A.
86' Event
Newell L.
90' Event
Dougan C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2023/2024 game between Knockbreda and Ards finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Knockbreda
15%
Draws
59%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Knockbreda haven't matched Ards's recent run of results.
  • Ards are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Ards Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knockbreda Ards
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Ards
0:5
Apr 9, 2024 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Ards
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Knockbreda
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Knockbreda
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Ards
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knockbreda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ards Compare

Top Goalscorer Steele A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Newell L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knockbreda 10 / 100
Ards 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ards let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Knockbreda scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Knockbreda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Knockbreda VS Ards
0 Goals Scored 1.75
5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 6

Ards

(Away)
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
16 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 0
Ards
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ballyclare 38 18 7 13 73:60 61
8 Newington FC 38 16 4 18 65:68 52
9 Ballinamallard 38 15 6 17 51:51 51
10 Ards 38 9 10 19 60:69 37
11 Dergview 38 6 9 23 41:79 27
12 Knockbreda 38 5 3 30 34:100 18
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2023/2024 (Relegation)