Sport Picks
Knockbreda vs Crusaders Prediction & H2H Stats
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lowry P.
10'
10'
Forsythe J.
51'
51'
Forsythe J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Crusaders in this Irish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crusaders have won more games recently than Knockbreda.
- Crusaders are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Crusaders arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Crusaders have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Knockbreda | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 3.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:2
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
2:4
May 8, 2021 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:5
Sep 1, 2015 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Knockbreda
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Knockbreda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Crusaders Compare
Top Goalscorer Lowry P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forsythe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Knockbreda 10 / 100
Crusaders 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Knockbreda Crusaders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crusaders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Crusaders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Crusaders lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Knockbreda's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Knockbreda VS Crusaders
0 Goals Scored 1.63
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Knockbreda
(Home) 27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0 Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4 Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0 Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Ards
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Bangor FC
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Ards
04 Jan
Knockbreda
0 : 3 Crusaders
30 Nov
Knockbreda
3 : 0 Banbridge
23 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 2 Crusaders
Page 1 of 4
Crusaders
(Away) 26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1 Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0 Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2 Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1 Crusaders
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Crusaders
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1 Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2 Crusaders
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Crusaders
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1 Crusaders
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Knockbreda 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Banbridge Rangers 2
Queens University 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Moyola 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Dollingstown 1
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Dergview -
Islandmagee 0
Ballymacash 4
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 3
Limavady 1
Larne 0
Cliftonville 4
Banbridge Rangers 0
Glenavon 2
Dundela 0
Belfast Celtic 0
Moyola 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 2
Dollingstown 1
Ballyclare 0
Institute 2
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 1
Annagh 3
Portadown 2
Harland & Wolff 2
Glentoran 4
Linfield 4
Wellington Rec 0
Ballymacash 1
Ballinamallard 2
Carrick Rangers 4
Newry City 3
Dungannon 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Coleraine 5
Armagh 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 1
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 3
Glenavon 2
Moyola 1
Ards 3
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 3
Annagh 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 1
Ballinamallard 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 2
Ards 2
Loughgall 0
Bangor FC 3
Glentoran 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Ards 0
Bangor FC 0
Dungannon 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
