Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Knockbreda vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lowry P.
10' Event
Forsythe J.
51' Event
Forsythe J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Crusaders in this Irish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Knockbreda
6%
Draws
90%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Crusaders have won more games recently than Knockbreda.
  • Crusaders are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Crusaders arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Crusaders have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knockbreda Crusaders
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 5 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:2
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
2:4
May 8, 2021 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crusaders
0:5
Sep 1, 2015 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Knockbreda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knockbreda Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowry P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forsythe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knockbreda 10 / 100
Crusaders 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Crusaders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Knockbreda scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Knockbreda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Knockbreda VS Crusaders
0 Goals Scored 1
5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 7

Crusaders

(Away)
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1
Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda3
Banbridge0
TBD-
Crusaders-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Banbridge Rangers2
Queens University1
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Portstewart0
Belfast Celtic1
Moyola1
St. James' Swifts0
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Lurgan Town Boys0
Dollingstown1
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Linfield-
TBD-
Wellington Rec-
Dergview-
Islandmagee0
Ballymacash4
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Dungannon-
TBD-
Rosario Youth2
Rathfriland Rangers4
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Armagh-
1/16-finals
Knockbreda0
Crusaders3
Limavady1
Larne0
Cliftonville4
Banbridge Rangers0
Glenavon2
Dundela0
Belfast Celtic0
Moyola1
Ballymena1
Ards2
Dollingstown1
Ballyclare0
Institute2
Loughgall3
Bangor FC2
Newington FC1
Annagh3
Portadown2
Harland & Wolff2
Glentoran4
Linfield4
Wellington Rec0
Ballymacash1
Ballinamallard2
Carrick Rangers4
Newry City3
Dungannon5
Rathfriland Rangers0
Coleraine5
Armagh0
1/8-finals
Crusaders1
Limavady0
Cliftonville3
Glenavon2
Moyola1
Ards3
Dollingstown0
Loughgall3
Bangor FC3
Annagh0
Glentoran2
Linfield1
Ballinamallard0
Carrick Rangers3
Dungannon2
Coleraine1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders1
Cliftonville2
Ards2
Loughgall0
Bangor FC3
Glentoran1
Carrick Rangers1
Dungannon3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville3
Ards0
Bangor FC0
Dungannon2
Final
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2