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Kocaelispor vs Amedspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kutlu B.
Assist: Dijksteel A.
46'
Sub
Yesil M. In: Meras U.
Out: Yesil M.
60'
Sub
Susoho M. In: Yildiz U.
Out: Susoho M.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Kocaelispor and Amedspor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kocaelispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kocaelispor
20%
Draws
38%
Amedspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kocaelispor haven't matched Amedspor's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 15%
Amedspor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Amedspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.83 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Amedspor
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Amedspor
1:0
Sep 2, 2024 1. Lig
Amedspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0
Mar 24, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Kocaelispor vs Amedspor
1:2
Nov 18, 2020 2. Lig White Group
Amedspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kocaelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutlu B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maglica M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Amedspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 31 / 100
Amedspor 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Amedspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kocaelispor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kocaelispor's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amedspor conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Amedspor
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
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Amedspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Genclerbirligi
2 : 2
Amedspor
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1
Trabzonspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
13 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
14 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)