Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kocaelispor vs Amedspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kocaelispor host Amedspor in the Super Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Kocaelispor at 0.63 goals for, 1.38 against; Amedspor at 2.38 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Amedspor slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.88) point toward Amedspor. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kocaelispor
44%
Draws
20%
Amedspor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kocaelispor haven't matched Amedspor's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Amedspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 10%
Amedspor Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Amedspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Amedspor
1:0
Sep 2, 2024 1. Lig
Amedspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0
Mar 24, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Kocaelispor vs Amedspor
1:2
Nov 18, 2020 2. Lig White Group
Amedspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 34 / 100
Amedspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Amedspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kocaelispor's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amedspor conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kocaelispor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Amedspor
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1
Kocaelispor
26 Apr
Genclerbirligi
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 6

Amedspor

(Away)
16 Jul
Amedspor
2 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
02 May
Igdir FK
3 : 3
Amedspor
26 Apr
Amedspor
1 : 1
Bodrumspor
19 Apr
Bandirmaspor
2 : 0
Amedspor
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trabzonspor00000:00
2Gaziantep00000:00
3Samsunspor00000:00
4Alanyaspor00000:00
5Amedspor00000:00
6Eyupspor00000:00
7Galatasaray00000:00
8Fenerbahce00000:00
9Besiktas00000:00
10Konyaspor00000:00
11Genclerbirligi00000:00
12Rizespor00000:00
13Kasimpasa00000:00
14Kocaelispor00000:00
15Basaksehir00000:00
16Goztepe00000:00
17Erzurumspor FK00000:00
18Corum FK00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)