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Kocaelispor vs Basaksehir

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
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Match Events

22'
Gunes U.
60'
Sub
Selke D. In: Yildirim B.
Out: Selke D.
68'
Sub
Cinan M. In: Rivas R.
Out: Cinan M.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Kocaelispor and Basaksehir finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kocaelispor
15%
Draws
21%
Basaksehir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basaksehir come out ahead of Kocaelispor on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Basaksehir here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Basaksehir
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor
2:0
Apr 6, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Basaksehir
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor
5:2
Oct 8, 2021 Club Friendly
Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 68 / 100
Basaksehir 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Basaksehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Basaksehir conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kocaelispor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Basaksehir registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Basaksehir
1 Goals Scored 1
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
Page 1 of 6

Basaksehir

(Away)
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77:30 77
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 11 2 77:37 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 61:39 69
4 Besiktas 34 17 9 8 59:40 60
5 Basaksehir 34 16 9 9 58:35 57
6 Goztepe 34 14 13 7 42:32 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 46:45 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 46:52 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 43:50 40
10 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 26:38 37
11 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 41:41 37
12 Gaziantep 34 9 10 15 43:58 37
13 Kasimpasa 34 8 11 15 33:49 35
14 Genclerbirligi 34 9 7 18 36:47 34
15 Eyupspor 34 8 9 17 33:48 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 33:55 32
17 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 27:62 30
18 F. Karagumruk 34 8 6 20 31:54 30
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)