Sport Picks
Kocaelispor vs F. Karagumruk Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit 
Match Events
39'
39'
Show
46'
46'
Sub
Oguz A. In: Rivas R.
Out: Oguz A.
46'
46'
Sub
Nonge J. In: Keita H.
Out: Nonge J.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Kocaelispor and F. Karagumruk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward F. Karagumruk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kocaelispor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- F. Karagumruk carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kocaelispor | F. Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs F. Karagumruk
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Kocaelispor
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Kocaelispor
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs F. Karagumruk
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 Club Friendly
F. Karagumruk vs Kocaelispor
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kocaelispor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Cinar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kocaelispor 41 / 100
F. Karagumruk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kocaelispor F. Karagumruk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Kocaelispor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Kocaelispor found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Kocaelispor VS F. Karagumruk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kocaelispor
(Home) 19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2 Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Amedspor
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19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Gaziantep
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Amedspor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1 F. Karagumruk
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1 Goztepe
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F. Karagumruk
(Away) 19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
09 Aug
Igdir FK
2 : 0 F. Karagumruk
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1 F. Karagumruk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
