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Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kocaelispor host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Kocaelispor at 0.86 goals for, 1.03 against; Fenerbahce at 2.03 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Fenerbahce slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Fenerbahce. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kocaelispor
20%
Draws
40%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kocaelispor haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fenerbahce have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 15%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Fenerbahce
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.86 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kocaelispor
3:1
Mar 13, 2009 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kocaelispor
1:1
Oct 18, 2008 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce
2:3
May 9, 2003 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kocaelispor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 41 / 100
Fenerbahce 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kocaelispor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kocaelispor scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Fenerbahce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Fenerbahce
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
31 Oct
Kocaelispor
0 : 0
Rizespor
27 Oct
Kocaelispor
3 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Oct
Alanyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
18 Oct
Kocaelispor
1 : 2
Goztepe
11 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 1
Kocaelispor
Page 1 of 6

Fenerbahce

(Away)
04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2
Liverpool
31 Oct
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Goztepe
26 Oct
Galatasaray
2 : 1
Fenerbahce
20 Oct
Fenerbahce
2 : 2
Slavia Prague
17 Oct
Fenerbahce
3 : 0
Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 10 8 1 1 23:12 25
2 Amedspor 10 7 2 1 25:11 23
3 Trabzonspor 10 7 1 2 24:8 22
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 20:12 19
5 Kasimpasa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
6 Fenerbahce 10 5 1 4 24:10 16
7 Corum FK 10 5 1 4 21:16 16
8 Kocaelispor 10 5 1 4 11:9 16
9 Goztepe 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
10 Basaksehir 10 4 2 4 17:16 14
11 Erzurumspor FK 10 4 2 4 9:15 14
12 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
13 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
14 Genclerbirligi 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
15 Konyaspor 10 2 2 6 6:13 8
16 Gaziantep 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Samsunspor 10 1 1 8 10:26 4
18 Eyupspor 10 1 0 9 3:28 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)