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Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Kocaelispor Logo

Kocaelispor

2 - 0
FT
Gaziantep Logo

Gaziantep

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Haidara M. In: Cinan M.
Out: Haidara M.
37'
Dervisoglu H.
56' Event
Kutlu B.
Assist: Sousa G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Kocaelispor and Gaziantep finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kocaelispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Kocaelispor
15%
Draws
20%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kocaelispor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Gaziantep
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep
3:0
Jan 13, 2026 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Kocaelispor
2:0
Dec 16, 2020 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Kocaelispor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kocaelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutlu B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agyei D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gaziantep Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 95 / 100
Gaziantep 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Gaziantep

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kocaelispor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gaziantep lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Gaziantep
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
07 Nov
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Kocaelispor
31 Oct
Kocaelispor
0 : 0
Rizespor
27 Oct
Kocaelispor
3 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Oct
Alanyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
18 Oct
Kocaelispor
1 : 2
Goztepe
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Gaziantep

(Away)
06 Nov
Gaziantep
0 : 2
Kasimpasa
01 Nov
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
27 Oct
Etimesgut
0 : 4
Gaziantep
24 Oct
Gaziantep
1 : 3
Erzurumspor FK
18 Oct
Basaksehir
2 : 1
Gaziantep
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 11 9 1 1 27:15 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 8 1 2 26:8 25
3 Amedspor 11 7 2 2 28:15 23
4 Besiktas 11 7 1 3 23:12 22
5 Kasimpasa 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
6 Fenerbahce 11 6 1 4 29:10 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 6 1 4 13:9 19
8 Basaksehir 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Corum FK 11 5 1 5 21:21 16
10 Goztepe 11 4 3 4 22:19 15
11 Rizespor 11 4 2 5 13:16 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 3 3 5 9:18 12
14 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
15 Konyaspor 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
16 Gaziantep 11 2 2 7 9:19 8
17 Samsunspor 11 2 1 8 11:26 7
18 Eyupspor 11 1 0 10 3:30 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)