Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Haidara M. In: Cinan M.
Out: Haidara M.
37'
Dervisoglu H.
56' Event
Kutlu B.
Assist: Sousa G.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Kocaelispor and Gaziantep finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kocaelispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Kocaelispor
15%
Draws
31%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaziantep carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Gaziantep
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep
3:0
Jan 13, 2026 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Kocaelispor
2:0
Dec 16, 2020 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Kocaelispor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kocaelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutlu B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agyei D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gaziantep Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 59 / 100
Gaziantep 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Gaziantep

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kocaelispor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kocaelispor scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Gaziantep
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
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Gaziantep

(Away)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)