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Kochi United vs FC Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Kochi
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Minakuchi Y.
45' Event
Tachino S.
46'
Sub
Tanaka T. In: Miyoshi R.
Out: Tanaka T.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Kochi United and FC Osaka finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Osaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Kochi United
20%
Draws
70%
FC Osaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kochi United haven't matched FC Osaka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Osaka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Osaka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 11%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kochi United FC Osaka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Kochi United vs FC Osaka
0:4
May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kochi United vs FC Osaka
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
FC Osaka vs Kochi United
3:2
Nov 24, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Kochi United
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 J3 League
Kochi United vs FC Osaka
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kochi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

FC Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Tachino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sumida S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kochi United 10 / 100
FC Osaka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kochi United FC Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Osaka conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Kochi United found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Kochi United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kochi United VS FC Osaka
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kochi United

(Home)
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
Page 1 of 6

FC Osaka

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1
Kanazawa
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
4 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
5 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
6 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
11 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
12 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
13 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
16 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)