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Kochi United vs Kumamoto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Kochi
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Match Events

14' Event
Iihoshi A.
23' Event
Mishina N.
Assist: Ishihara O.
26'
Kobayashi D.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Kochi United and Kumamoto finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumamoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Kochi United
30%
Draws
62%
Kumamoto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kumamoto come out ahead of Kochi United on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Kumamoto taking it.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 14%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kochi United Kumamoto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 J3 League
Kochi United vs Kumamoto
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kochi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kumamoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Iihoshi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mishina N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kochi United 11 / 100
Kumamoto 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kochi United Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kochi United scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Kumamoto has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Kochi United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kochi United VS Kumamoto
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kochi United

(Home)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Kumamoto

(Away)
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)