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Kochi United vs Nagano Parceiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Kochi
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kochi United host Nagano Parceiro in the J3 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Kochi United at 0.9 goals for, 1.66 against; Nagano Parceiro at 1.07 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, Kochi United have won 2 to Nagano Parceiro's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.38, favoring Kochi United. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kochi United
20%
Draws
64%
Nagano Parceiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nagano Parceiro lately — more wins on the board than Kochi United.
  • Nagano Parceiro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 17%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kochi United Nagano Parceiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Kochi United
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 J3 League
Kochi United vs Nagano Parceiro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kochi United 23 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kochi United Nagano Parceiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nagano Parceiro conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Nagano Parceiro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kochi United found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kochi United VS Nagano Parceiro
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kochi United

(Home)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Nagano Parceiro

(Away)
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
5 FC Osaka 9 4 4 1 17:8 16
6 SC Sagamihara 9 4 3 2 15:10 15
7 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
8 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
9 Kanazawa 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 9 1 2 6 10:17 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)