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Koeru vs Vastseliina Tannem

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koeru play Vastseliina Tannem in the Estonian Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Koeru averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. Vastseliina Tannem averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. In past meetings, Koeru won 0, Vastseliina Tannem won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Koeru and 1.63 for Vastseliina Tannem. This points to a Vastseliina Tannem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Koeru
15%
Draws
46%
Vastseliina Tannem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastseliina Tannem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Koeru picked up more points recently compared to Vastseliina Tannem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Koeru Clean Sheet 14%
Vastseliina Tannem Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koeru Vastseliina Tannem
Matches Played 7 24
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.43 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2016 Estonian Cup
Koeru vs Vastseliina Tannem
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koeru 38 / 100
Vastseliina Tannem 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koeru Vastseliina Tannem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vastseliina Tannem or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Koeru attacking → ← attacking Vastseliina Tannem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koeru scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Vastseliina Tannem let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Koeru went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vastseliina Tannem lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 27
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13