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Kofu vs Iwata Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J2 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Fujii K. In: Oshima K.
Out: Fujii K.
61'
Sub
Ohara M. In: Kawai T.
Out: Ohara M.
61'
Sub
Murakami Y. In: Kurokawa A.
Out: Murakami Y.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Kofu and Iwata finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kofu
15%
Draws
57%
Iwata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwata come out ahead of Kofu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iwata a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Iwata have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Kofu Clean Sheet 15%
Iwata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kofu Iwata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 1
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Kofu vs Iwata
0:1
May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Iwata
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwata vs Kofu
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Iwata
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 J2 League
Iwata vs Kofu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Iwata Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawai T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 23 / 100
Iwata 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kofu Iwata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Kofu scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Iwata lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kofu VS Iwata
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kofu

(Home)
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Kofu
Page 1 of 6

Iwata

(Away)
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1
Toyama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Omiya Ardija 8 4 4 0 16:7 16
3 Albirex Niigata 8 5 1 2 11:12 16
4 Shonan Bellmare 8 4 3 1 9:7 15
5 Toyama 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
6 Yokohama FC 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
7 Tokushima 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
8 Montedio Yamagata 8 4 0 4 10:6 12
9 Fujieda MYFC 8 3 3 2 12:9 12
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Tochigi City 8 3 1 4 14:13 10
12 Blaublitz 8 2 4 2 11:10 10
13 Iwata 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
14 Vanraure 8 3 1 4 5:12 10
15 Iwaki 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
16 Oita Trinita 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
17 Sagan Tosu 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
18 Kofu 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
19 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
20 Imabari 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
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