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Kofu vs Tochigi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu
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Match Events

14' Event
Yoshida A.
Assist: Nishiya K.
18' Event
Naito Y.
Assist: Endo H.
25' Event
Sueki H.
Assist: Staccioli M.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Kofu and Tochigi City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kofu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kofu
15%
Draws
85%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tochigi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tochigi City come out ahead of Kofu on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kofu Clean Sheet 12%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kofu Tochigi City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 J2 League
Kofu vs Tochigi City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Top Goalscorer Naito Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sueki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tochigi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 30 / 100
Tochigi City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kofu Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Tochigi City has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tochigi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kofu's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kofu VS Tochigi City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kofu

(Home)
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2
Toyama
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2
Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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