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Kofu vs Tokushima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Endo H.
60'
Sub
Iwao K. In: Shigehiro T.
Out: Iwao K.
60'
Sub
Watari D. In: Thonny Anderson
Out: Watari D.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Kofu and Tokushima finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokushima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kofu
15%
Draws
57%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tokushima come out ahead of Kofu on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tokushima here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kofu Clean Sheet 16%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kofu Tokushima
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 2 1
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 J2 League
Kofu vs Tokushima
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Kofu
4:1
May 3, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Tokushima
0:2
Jul 6, 2024 J2 League
Kofu vs Tokushima
1:3
Feb 25, 2024 J2 League
Tokushima vs Kofu
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Thonny Anderson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 31 / 100
Tokushima 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kofu Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tokushima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kofu scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Tokushima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Tokushima conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kofu VS Tokushima
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kofu

(Home)
10 Oct
Kofu
2 : 1
Tochigi City
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2
Toyama
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
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Tokushima

(Away)
10 Oct
Tokushima
1 : 2
Imabari
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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