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Koge vs Aalborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Koge Logo

Koge

Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Koge host Aalborg in the 1st Division. This one's hard to separate. Koge have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Aalborg's 1.47 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Aalborg slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.50, favoring Aalborg. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Koge
30%
Draws
29%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalborg lately — more wins on the board than Koge.
  • Model gives Koge a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Koge Clean Sheet 16%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Aalborg
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
0:0
May 30, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 57 / 100
Aalborg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Koge's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Koge stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Aalborg
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
31 Oct
Kolding IF
3 : 2
Koge
23 Oct
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Koge
16 Oct
Koge
2 : 3
AB Copenhagen
11 Oct
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 2
Koge
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
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Aalborg

(Away)
30 Oct
Aalborg
1 : 1
Hobro
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
17 Oct
Aalborg
0 : 1
Vejle
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)