Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Koge Logo

Koge

1 - 1
FT
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Jensen M.
29'
Sub
Sorensen V. In: Achton L.
Out: Sorensen V.
32'
Jensen M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Koge and Aalborg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Koge
15%
Draws
85%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalborg come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • Aalborg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aalborg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Koge Clean Sheet 16%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Aalborg
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
0:2
Dec 3, 2023 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Aalborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 10 / 100
Aalborg 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aalborg conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Koge found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Aalborg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Aalborg
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Koge
0 : 2
Vejle
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
18 Jul
Naestved IF
2 : 0
Koge
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Aalborg

(Away)
09 Aug
Aalborg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)