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Koge vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Koge Logo

Koge

1 - 1
FT
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Jensen M.
29'
Sub
Sorensen V. In: Achton L.
Out: Sorensen V.
32'
Jensen M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Koge and Aalborg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Koge
35%
Draws
30%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalborg come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Koge Clean Sheet 16%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Aalborg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
0:0
May 30, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aalborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 30 / 100
Aalborg 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Koge remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Koge found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Aalborg
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
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Aalborg

(Away)
20 Sept
Aalborg
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)