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Stadium Background

Koge vs Aarhus Fremad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koge host Aarhus Fremad in the 1st Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aarhus Fremad have shipped 0.87 goals a game lately, while Koge have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Koge have won 2 to Aarhus Fremad's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Aarhus Fremad. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Koge
30%
Draws
29%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus Fremad come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Koge's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Koge Clean Sheet 20%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
3:1
May 9, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 76 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Koge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Aarhus Fremad
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
31 Oct
Kolding IF
3 : 2
Koge
23 Oct
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Koge
16 Oct
Koge
2 : 3
AB Copenhagen
11 Oct
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 2
Koge
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
01 Nov
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 0
Hillerod
29 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 3
FC Copenhagen
24 Oct
Vejle
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
16 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Esbjerg
09 Oct
AB Copenhagen
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)