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Stadium Background

Koge vs Hillerod

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Opoku S.
Assist: Julo M.
25'
Hald S.
55'
Larsen S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Koge
35%
Draws
46%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hillerod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hillerod average 1.62 goals a game right now, well clear of Koge's 1.07.
  • Hillerod are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Hillerod
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Koge
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Koge
3:0
Apr 13, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 10 / 100
Hillerod 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Koge stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Koge scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Hillerod
0.5 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
15 Aug
Koge
0 : 2
Hvidovre IF
Page 1 of 6

Hillerod

(Away)
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vejle 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
2 Hvidovre IF 8 5 3 0 15:8 18
3 Fredericia 8 3 4 1 10:4 13
4 Aarhus Fremad 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
5 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
6 Aalborg 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
7 Vendsyssel FF 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
8 Hillerod 8 2 2 4 12:13 8
9 Kolding IF 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
10 AB Copenhagen 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
11 Esbjerg 8 1 2 5 10:16 5
12 Koge 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)