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Koge vs Hillerod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Opoku S.
Assist: Julo M.
25'
Hald S.
55'
Larsen S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Koge
20%
Draws
29%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Koge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Koge have won more games recently than Hillerod.
  • Koge are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Koge Clean Sheet 68%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Hillerod
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Koge
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Koge
3:0
Apr 13, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 95 / 100
Hillerod 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Koge scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Hillerod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Koge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Hillerod
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
31 Oct
Kolding IF
3 : 2
Koge
23 Oct
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Koge
16 Oct
Koge
2 : 3
AB Copenhagen
11 Oct
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 2
Koge
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
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Hillerod

(Away)
01 Nov
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 0
Hillerod
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
18 Oct
Hvidovre IF
1 : 0
Hillerod
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 14 7 6 1 26:16 27
3 Fredericia 14 6 5 3 21:10 23
4 AB Copenhagen 14 6 3 5 21:15 21
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Aalborg 14 3 7 4 17:19 16
7 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
8 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Koge 14 2 6 6 20:26 12
11 Vendsyssel FF 14 2 6 6 14:24 12
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)