Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge vs Hobro

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Koge Logo

Koge

0 - 1
FT
Hobro Logo

Hobro

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Klitten L.
Assist: Huldahl M.
46'
Sub
Westergren M. In: Jensen Tue C.
Out: Westergren M.
46'
Sub
Schutt M. In: Salah M.
Out: Schutt M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Koge and Hobro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hobro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Koge
35%
Draws
24%
Hobro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Koge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hobro come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Koge's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Koge Clean Sheet 15%
Hobro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Hobro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
5:2
May 24, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:1
Jul 18, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Klitten L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 75 / 100
Hobro 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Hobro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Koge remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hobro let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hobro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Hobro
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
Page 1 of 6

Hobro

(Away)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)