Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge vs Hobro

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Klitten L.
Assist: Huldahl M.
46'
Sub
Westergren M. In: Jensen Tue C.
Out: Westergren M.
46'
Sub
Schutt M. In: Salah M.
Out: Schutt M.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Koge and Hobro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hobro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Koge
15%
Draws
85%
Hobro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hobro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hobro come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hobro's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Koge Clean Sheet 16%
Hobro Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Hobro
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:1
Jul 18, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
2:0
May 22, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Klitten L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 15 / 100
Hobro 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Hobro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hobro conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Koge found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Hobro lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Hobro
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Koge
0 : 2
Vejle
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
18 Jul
Naestved IF
2 : 0
Koge
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Hobro

(Away)
08 Aug
Hobro
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
05 Aug
Hobro
0 : 4
Vendsyssel FF
02 Aug
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 2
Hobro
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
18 Jul
Hamburger II
1 : 2
Hobro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)