Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge W vs Aarhus W

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women 2025/2026
Koge W Logo

Koge W

2 - 0
FT
Aarhus W Logo

Aarhus W

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jorgensen I.
43'
Jereko M.
56' Event
Pelgander E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The A-Liga Women 2025/2026 game between Koge W and Aarhus W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Koge W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Koge W
15%
Draws
0%
Aarhus W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aarhus W haven't matched Koge W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Koge W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Koge W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Koge W Clean Sheet 68%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge W Aarhus W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.11 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Danish Cup Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pelgander E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Aarhus W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge W 95 / 100
Aarhus W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge W Aarhus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge W found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Koge W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Aarhus W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Aarhus W let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Koge W VS Aarhus W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge W

(Home)
19 Aug
Brondby W
1 : 2
Koge W
15 Aug
Koge W
3 : 0
Odense W
08 Aug
Koge W
2 : 1
Hearts W
05 Aug
Koge W
4 : 1
Riga FC W
01 Aug
Koge W
4 : 0
ASA Aarhus W
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus W

(Away)
19 Aug
Fortuna Hjorring W
3 : 0
Aarhus W
16 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 3
Brondby W
02 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 4
KoldingQ W
25 Jul
ASA Aarhus W
3 : 1
Aarhus W
13 Jun
Brondby W
3 : 0
Aarhus W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koge W 24 16 5 3 50:22 53
2 Brondby W 24 14 8 2 39:16 50
3 Fortuna Hjorring W 24 12 5 7 37:21 41
4 Nordsjaelland W 24 9 10 5 47:26 37
5 Aarhus W 24 7 5 12 26:34 26
6 KoldingQ W 24 5 3 16 25:55 18
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)