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Koge W vs Fortuna Hjorring W

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koge W play Fortuna Hjorring W in the A-Liga Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Koge W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Fortuna Hjorring W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Koge W won 3, Fortuna Hjorring W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Koge W and 0.76 for Fortuna Hjorring W. This points to a Koge W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Koge W
15%
Draws
37%
Fortuna Hjorring W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Koge W picked up more points recently compared to Fortuna Hjorring W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Koge W Clean Sheet 27%
Fortuna Hjorring W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge W Fortuna Hjorring W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.27 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Fortuna Hjorring W
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 A-Liga Women
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Koge W
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 A-Liga Women
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Koge W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Fortuna Hjorring W
0:1
May 4, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Fortuna Hjorring W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadim N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fortuna Hjorring W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge W 49 / 100
Fortuna Hjorring W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge W Fortuna Hjorring W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Koge W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Koge W attacking → ← attacking Fortuna Hjorring W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Fortuna Hjorring W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Koge W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Hjorring W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 52
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Koge W24165350:2253
2Brondby W24148239:1650
3Fortuna Hjorring W24125737:2141
4Nordsjaelland W24910547:2637
5Aarhus W24751226:3426
6KoldingQ W24531625:5518