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Koge W vs PSV W

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Koge Stadion, Koge
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Korhonen C.
Assist: Gejl M.
56'
Sub
Rutgers M. In: Altena A.
Out: Rutgers M.
63' Event
Rijsbergen L.
Assist: Jacobs L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Koge W
20%
Draws
23%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Koge W come out ahead of PSV W on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Koge W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Koge W Clean Sheet 16%
PSV W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge W PSV W
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 19 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.3 2.15
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Koge W vs PSV W
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
PSV W vs Koge W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Korhonen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rijsbergen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge W 30 / 100
PSV W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge W found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

PSV W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Koge W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Koge W VS PSV W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge W

(Home)
19 Sept
Koge W
4 : 0
Midtjylland W
12 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
1 : 2
Koge W
05 Sept
Koge W
4 : 6
Nordsjaelland W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
29 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 2
Koge W
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PSV W

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
26 Aug
PSV W
0 : 1
Koge W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sparta Prague W 3
Servette W 5
PSV W 1
Koge W 2
Brann W 2
Austria Vienna W 5
Leuven W 6
Czarni Sosnowiec W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2
PSG W 6
St. Polten W 1
Juventus W 4
Wolfsburg W 3
Inter W 4
Chelsea W 6
Real Sociedad W 2
Ajax W 1
Real Madrid W 4