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Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve vs Rakvere

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Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve play Rakvere in the Club Friendly 2020. Rakvere are favorites here. Recently, Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. Rakvere averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve won 2, Rakvere won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve and 1.00 for Rakvere. This points to a Rakvere double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
25%
Draws
60%
Rakvere
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve picked up more points recently compared to Rakvere.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve Clean Sheet 23%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve Rakvere
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.04 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.74 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2020 Club Friendly
Rakvere vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
1:0
Feb 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve vs Rakvere
4:1
Nov 10, 2019 Esiliiga
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve vs Rakvere
2:3
Jul 25, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
2:2
Jul 13, 2019 Estonian Cup
Rakvere vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 18 / 100
Rakvere 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve Rakvere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rakvere & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve attacking → ← attacking Rakvere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Rakvere let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rakvere lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 23
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.20