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Stadium Background

Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Muborak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Qo'qon Stadium, Kokand
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gadoev S.
Assist: Khasanov M.
46'
Sub
Akramov Z. In: Muydinov M.
Out: Akramov Z.
61'
Sub
Abduraymov S. In: Ubaydullaev J.
Out: Abduraymov S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kokand 1912 and Mashal Muborak finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kokand 1912.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kokand 1912
20%
Draws
0%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kokand 1912

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Kokand 1912 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Kokand 1912 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 68%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kokand 1912 Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 4
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 0.86 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Muborak
3:0
Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Kokand 1912
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Kokand 1912
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Muborak
0:4
Oct 8, 2024 Pro Liga
Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Muborak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kokand 1912 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gadoev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malikdzhonov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mashal Muborak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kokand 1912 86 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kokand 1912 Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kokand 1912 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Mashal Muborak has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kokand 1912 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kokand 1912 VS Mashal Muborak
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kokand 1912

(Home)
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
Page 1 of 6

Mashal Muborak

(Away)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)