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Stadium Background

Kokand 1912 vs Navbahor Namangan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Markaziy Qo'qon Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kokand 1912 play Navbahor Namangan in the Super League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kokand 1912 averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Navbahor Namangan averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Kokand 1912 won 2, Navbahor Namangan won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Kokand 1912 and 1.44 for Navbahor Namangan. This points to a Kokand 1912 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kokand 1912
28%
Draws
33%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kokand 1912

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kokand 1912 picked up more points recently compared to Navbahor Namangan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 16%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kokand 1912 Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Navbahor Namangan
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Navbahor Namangan
2:0
May 25, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Kokand 1912
3:0
Aug 16, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1
Mar 17, 2022 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Kokand 1912
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kokand 1912 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giorgadze A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khusanov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kokand 1912 38 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kokand 1912 Navbahor Namangan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kokand 1912 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kokand 1912 attacking → ← attacking Navbahor Namangan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kokand 1912 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Navbahor Namangan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kokand 1912 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Navbahor Namangan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Neftchi Fargona30197449:2464
2Pakhtakor30186659:2360
3Nasaf Qarshi301611351:2359
4Din. Samarkand301610447:3058
5Bunyodkor301310748:4049
6OKMK301461044:3448
7Navbahor Namangan3010101041:3740
8Sogdiana301071337:3737
9Qizilqum30991228:4436
10Termez Surkhon30981326:3035
11Andijan30981339:5135
12Kokand 191230971424:3934
13Mashal Muborak30861622:4830
14Buxoro30691530:4927
15Xorazm Urganch30761733:3927
16Shortan Guzor30381927:5717