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Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Busko-Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kolbuszowa Dolna host Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga - Group IV. This has Kolbuszowa Dolna written all over it on paper. Kolbuszowa Dolna have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Busko-Zdroj's 1.5 scored and 2.38 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Kolbuszowa Dolna to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
15%
Draws
36%
Busko-Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kolbuszowa Dolna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Busko-Zdroj haven't matched Kolbuszowa Dolna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kolbuszowa Dolna a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 20%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolbuszowa Dolna Busko-Zdroj
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolbuszowa Dolna 67 / 100
Busko-Zdroj 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolbuszowa Dolna Busko-Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kolbuszowa Dolna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kolbuszowa Dolna found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Busko-Zdroj let in goals in 88% of their last 24 matches.

Away concern: Busko-Zdroj has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Kolbuszowa Dolna remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kolbuszowa Dolna VS Busko-Zdroj
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Home)
31 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
24 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
17 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 0
Wisla II
11 Oct
Naprzod Jedrzejow
1 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

Busko-Zdroj

(Away)
31 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
0 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
24 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
18 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 4
Hetman Zamosc
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 15 11 4 0 25:6 37
2 Wisloka Debica 15 9 2 4 23:17 29
3 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 15 8 5 2 27:13 29
4 Hetman Zamosc 15 7 5 3 28:22 26
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 15 7 4 4 31:28 25
6 Czarni Polaniec 15 7 4 4 22:20 25
7 Wislanie Skawina 15 7 3 5 23:16 24
8 Wisla II 15 6 4 5 20:20 22
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 15 6 3 6 23:22 21
10 Star Starachowice 15 5 5 5 24:24 20
11 Jaroslaw 15 5 3 7 31:28 18
12 Kolbuszowa Dolna 15 3 7 5 14:17 16
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 15 4 4 7 15:19 16
14 Korona Kielce II 15 4 2 9 29:35 14
15 Busko-Zdroj 15 4 2 9 20:35 14
16 Biala Podlaska 15 3 4 8 11:24 13
17 Moravia Morawica 15 3 3 9 19:26 12
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 15 3 2 10 17:30 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)