Sport Picks
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Chelmianka Chelm
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Krawczun H.
54'
54'
Korbecki B.
(Penalty)
80'
80'
Baidoo I.
AI Match Summary
Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kolbuszowa Dolna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Kolbuszowa Dolna.
- Kolbuszowa Dolna are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 18%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kolbuszowa Dolna | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Krawczun H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baidoo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kolbuszowa Dolna 67 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kolbuszowa Dolna Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kolbuszowa Dolna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Kolbuszowa Dolna scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Chelmianka Chelm conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Kolbuszowa Dolna VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kolbuszowa Dolna
(Home) 24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
18 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
11 Jul
Jaroslaw
1 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
30 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
22 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0 Wislanie Skawina
13 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1 Avia Swidnik
24 Apr
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 2 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 3
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
17 May
Cracovia II
3 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
01 May
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
