Sport Picks

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Kolin vs Velvary

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Sportovni areal Brankovicka
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stursa O.
41'
Penkava T.
46'
Sub
Ibrahim K. In: Radl J.
Out: Ibrahim K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 game between Kolin and Velvary finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kolin
20%
Draws
38%
Velvary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kolin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kolin haven't matched Velvary's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kolin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Velvary here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kolin Clean Sheet 10%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolin Velvary
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Kolin vs Velvary
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Kolin
4:1
Apr 6, 2024 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Kolin
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Kolin vs Velvary
0:4
Apr 7, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Kolin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Velvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Stursa O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jelinek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolin 40 / 100
Velvary 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolin Velvary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velvary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Velvary has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kolin found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kolin VS Velvary
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Ceska Lipa32291286:2488
2Zapy32235472:2774
3Banik Most-Sous32204860:3464
4Hradec Kralove B32194970:4761
5Teplice B321481046:4250
6Benatky n. Jiz.321281259:5444
7Pardubice B321271369:5743
8Jablonec B321161549:6239
9Mlada Boleslav B321081439:5038
10Liberec B321071572:6437
11Varnsdorf321071546:6537
12Neratovice32991444:6636
13Brozany328101438:5834
14Velke Hamry327101545:5731
15Usti nad Orlici327101535:5531
16Velvary32742146:8225
17Kolin324121636:6824