Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kolin vs Velvary

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Sportovni areal Brankovicka, Kolin
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stursa O.
41'
Penkava T.
46'
Sub
Ibrahim K. In: Radl J.
Out: Ibrahim K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 game between Kolin and Velvary finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Kolin
35%
Draws
50%
Velvary
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Velvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Kolin haven't matched Velvary's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Velvary taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Velvary here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kolin Clean Sheet 16%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolin Velvary
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.27 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Kolin vs Velvary
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Kolin
4:1
Apr 6, 2024 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Kolin
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Kolin vs Velvary
0:4
Apr 7, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Kolin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Velvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Stursa O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jelinek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolin 10 / 100
Velvary 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolin Velvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velvary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velvary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Kolin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kolin found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Kolin VS Velvary
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolin

(Home)
30 Aug
Kolin
0 : 4
Kosmonosy
23 Aug
Dvur Kralove
2 : 2
Kolin
16 Aug
Kolin
1 : 1
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
08 Aug
Hlinsko
1 : 1
Kolin
01 Aug
Kolin
0 : 3
Horni Redice
Page 1 of 6

Velvary

(Away)
29 Aug
Velvary
2 : 1
Karlovy Vary
21 Aug
Hvezda Cheb
3 : 4
Velvary
15 Aug
Velvary
1 : 1
Slany
08 Aug
Steti
1 : 2
Velvary
01 Aug
Velvary
0 : 1
Brandys nad Labem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Ceska Lipa 32 29 1 2 86:24 88
2 Zapy 32 23 5 4 72:27 74
3 Banik Most-Sous 32 20 4 8 60:34 64
4 Hradec Kralove B 32 19 4 9 70:47 61
5 Teplice B 32 14 8 10 46:42 50
6 Benatky n. Jiz. 32 12 8 12 59:54 44
7 Pardubice B 32 12 7 13 69:57 43
8 Jablonec B 32 11 6 15 49:62 39
9 Mlada Boleslav B 32 10 8 14 39:50 38
10 Liberec B 32 10 7 15 72:64 37
11 Varnsdorf 32 10 7 15 46:65 37
12 Neratovice 32 9 9 14 44:66 36
13 Brozany 32 8 10 14 38:58 34
14 Velke Hamry 32 7 10 15 45:57 31
15 Usti nad Orlici 32 7 10 15 35:55 31
16 Velvary 32 7 4 21 46:82 25
17 Kolin 32 4 12 16 36:68 24
Promotion - 3. CFL - Play Offs (Main)