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Koln W vs Bayern Munich W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Franz-Kremer Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koln W play Bayern Munich W in the Bundesliga Women 2025/2026. Bayern Munich W are favorites here. Recently, Koln W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Bayern Munich W averaged 3.26 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, Koln W won 0, Bayern Munich W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Koln W and 2.09 for Bayern Munich W. This points to a Bayern Munich W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Koln W
15%
Draws
56%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Koln W picked up more points recently compared to Bayern Munich W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.09 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Koln W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koln W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 13 30
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.55 3.26
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Bayern Munich W
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Koln W
5:1
Mar 9, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Bayern Munich W
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Koln W
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Bayern Munich W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koln W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dallmann L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koln W 28 / 100
Bayern Munich W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koln W Bayern Munich W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bayern Munich W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Koln W attacking → ← attacking Bayern Munich W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koln W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bayern Munich W let in goals in 37% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Koln W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bayern Munich W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 94
1.86 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
1.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211