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Koln W vs Freiburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Franz-Kremer Stadion, Cologne
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hegering M. In: Bohnen A.
Out: Hegering M.
46'
Sub
Vobian S. In: Schneider M.
Out: Vobian S.
46'
Sub
Arfaoui A. In: Birkholz L. E.
Out: Arfaoui A.

AI Match Summary

Freiburg W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Koln W
15%
Draws
42%
Freiburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koln W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Koln W have won more games recently than Freiburg W.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Koln W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Freiburg W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Koln W Clean Sheet 16%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koln W Freiburg W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Freiburg W
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Freiburg W
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Koln W
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Koln W
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Freiburg W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koln W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunold C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koln W 48 / 100
Freiburg W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koln W Freiburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koln W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Koln W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Freiburg W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Koln W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Koln W VS Freiburg W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Koln W

(Home)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Hertha Berlin W
1 : 2
Koln W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
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Freiburg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)