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Kolos Kovalivka 2 vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Veremiyenko O.
62' Event
Kononov M.
63'
Sub
Dymnych D. In: Kolesnyk D.
Out: Dymnych D.

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kolos Kovalivka 2
15%
Draws
34%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kolos Kovalivka 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kolos Kovalivka 2 have won more games recently than SC Poltava.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kolos Kovalivka 2 Clean Sheet 16%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolos Kovalivka 2 SC Poltava
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Persha Liga
Kolos Kovalivka 2 vs SC Poltava
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolos Kovalivka 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Kononov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolos Kovalivka 2 36 / 100
SC Poltava 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolos Kovalivka 2 SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kolos Kovalivka 2's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

SC Poltava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC Poltava's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kolos Kovalivka 2 VS SC Poltava
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolos Kovalivka 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
28 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
12 Sept
Kulikiv
5 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka 2
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

SC Poltava

(Away)
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
3 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
4 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
5 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 10:12 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
15 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)