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Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka Logo

Kolos Kovalivka

2 - 3
FT
Karpaty Lviv Logo

Karpaty Lviv

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Chachua A.
8' Event
Salabay A.
24'
Demchenko O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kolos Kovalivka
15%
Draws
53%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Karpaty Lviv have won more games recently than Kolos Kovalivka.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Karpaty Lviv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Karpaty Lviv, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 13%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolos Kovalivka Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.54 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
2:3
Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
1:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolos Kovalivka Compare

Top Goalscorer Salabay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndukve D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Baboglo V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chachua A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolos Kovalivka 31 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolos Kovalivka Karpaty Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karpaty Lviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kolos Kovalivka's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kolos Kovalivka VS Karpaty Lviv
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolos Kovalivka

(Home)
10 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
3 : 1
Epitsentr
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2
Zorya
20 Sept
Kudrivka
2 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
Page 1 of 6

Karpaty Lviv

(Away)
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -