Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Kolos Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kolos Kovalivka play Obolon in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kolos Kovalivka averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Obolon averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Kolos Kovalivka won 0, Obolon won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.88 for Obolon. This points to a Kolos Kovalivka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kolos Kovalivka
35%
Draws
28%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kolos Kovalivka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Kolos Kovalivka picked up more points recently compared to Obolon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 25%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolos Kovalivka Obolon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon
0:2
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Kolos Kovalivka
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon
0:0
Aug 21, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Obolon vs Kolos Kovalivka
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolos Kovalivka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Volokhatyi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolos Kovalivka 38 / 100
Obolon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolos Kovalivka Obolon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kolos Kovalivka or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kolos Kovalivka attacking → ← attacking Obolon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kolos Kovalivka scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Obolon let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Kolos Kovalivka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Obolon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 30
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413