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Kolstad vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Austberg I.
66' Event
Eggen N.
80' Event
Forren E.

AI Match Summary

Tiller in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tiller.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kolstad
15%
Draws
21%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kolstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Tiller have won more games recently than Kolstad.
  • Win probability leans Tiller's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 19%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolstad Tiller
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 25
Goals Scored 0.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 4.5 3.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Tiller
0:3
Apr 15, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Kolstad
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Tiller
0:6
Apr 23, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Kolstad
2:3
Sep 25, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Tiller
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Austberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eggen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolstad 10 / 100
Tiller 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolstad Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiller Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiller has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Tiller lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kolstad scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tiller
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolstad

(Home)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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