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Kongahalla vs Ahlafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Akerman O.
17' Event
Jerkersson F.
21' Event
Nilsson J.

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kongahalla
6%
Draws
90%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ahlafors have won more games recently than Kongahalla.
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kongahalla Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongahalla Ahlafors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kongahalla vs Ahlafors
1:3
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Kongahalla
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Kongahalla
2:0
May 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kongahalla vs Ahlafors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kongahalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lind G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jerkersson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongahalla 10 / 100
Ahlafors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongahalla Ahlafors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongahalla found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Ahlafors let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kongahalla has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kongahalla VS Ahlafors
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419