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Kongsvinger vs Hodd

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kongsvinger host Hodd in the OBOS-ligaen. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kongsvinger at 3.25 goals for, 1.68 against; Hodd at 1.65 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, Kongsvinger have won 3 to Hodd's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 3.75 vs 1.94, favoring Kongsvinger. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kongsvinger
20%
Draws
35%
Hodd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kongsvinger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%
Hodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Hodd
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3.25 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Kongsvinger
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Hodd
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Kongsvinger
0:2
Sep 2, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Kongsvinger
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Hodd
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 83 / 100
Hodd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Hodd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Hodd has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Kongsvinger remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Hodd
5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Lyn
26 Aug
Odds BK
0 : 1
Kongsvinger
22 Aug
Skreia
2 : 14
Kongsvinger
16 Aug
Kongsvinger
3 : 2
Haugesund
Page 1 of 6

Hodd

(Away)
05 Sept
Asane
2 : 2
Hodd
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
26 Aug
Stromsgodset
3 : 1
Hodd
22 Aug
Spjelkavik
1 : 2
Hodd
16 Aug
Hodd
4 : 3
Strommen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kongsvinger 21 14 4 3 62:33 46
2 Haugesund 21 15 1 5 64:36 46
3 Stabaek 21 13 3 5 55:26 42
4 Stromsgodset 21 12 6 3 54:30 42
5 Hodd 21 10 4 7 37:38 34
6 Odds BK 21 9 6 6 41:33 33
7 Bryne 21 9 2 10 26:31 29
8 Egersund 21 8 4 9 34:38 28
9 Lyn 21 7 4 10 36:44 25
10 Ranheim 21 7 3 11 50:55 24
11 Sandnes Ulf 21 7 3 11 30:36 24
12 Strommen 21 7 3 11 32:47 24
13 Moss 21 6 4 11 35:47 22
14 Sogndal 21 6 4 11 36:50 22
15 Asane 21 5 4 12 32:46 18
16 Raufoss 21 5 1 15 24:58 16
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)