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Stadium Background

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes Ulf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Botnen F.
14' Event
Christensen F.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Dybevik A.

AI Match Summary

Kongsvinger in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Kongsvinger
20%
Draws
11%
Sandnes Ulf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Sandnes Ulf haven't matched Kongsvinger's recent run of results.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kongsvinger here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 16%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Sandnes Ulf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 3.38 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes Ulf
4:0
Jul 26, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger
1:6
Aug 27, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes Ulf
1:0
May 27, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger
0:2
Oct 29, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes Ulf
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Dybevik A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christiansen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Sandnes Ulf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 84 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Sandnes Ulf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sandnes Ulf conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kongsvinger has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Sandnes Ulf
3.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
18 Oct
Kongsvinger
4 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
14 Oct
Stromsgodset
5 : 1
Kongsvinger
11 Oct
Kongsvinger
6 : 2
Ranheim
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
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Sandnes Ulf

(Away)
18 Oct
Kongsvinger
4 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
14 Oct
Stabaek
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
11 Oct
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Haugesund
03 Oct
Strommen
3 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stromsgodset 27 18 6 3 76:33 60
2 Kongsvinger 27 18 5 4 81:42 59
3 Haugesund 27 19 2 6 78:45 59
4 Stabaek 27 16 4 7 64:34 52
5 Odds BK 27 13 6 8 54:41 45
6 Bryne 27 12 3 12 37:38 39
7 Hodd 27 11 5 11 47:53 38
8 Ranheim 27 10 5 12 68:67 35
9 Egersund 27 9 7 11 42:53 34
10 Strommen 27 9 6 12 48:59 33
11 Lyn 27 9 4 14 41:57 31
12 Moss 27 8 5 14 40:56 29
13 Sandnes Ulf 27 7 5 15 37:54 26
14 Sogndal 26 6 6 14 42:59 24
15 Asane 27 6 5 16 37:61 22
16 Raufoss 26 6 2 18 29:69 20
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