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Kongsvinger vs Stabaek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kongsvinger host Stabaek in the OBOS-ligaen. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Kongsvinger at 3.39 goals for, 1.64 against; Stabaek at 2.31 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Kongsvinger have won 3 to Stabaek's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.88 - 1.50) back Kongsvinger to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kongsvinger
15%
Draws
39%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kongsvinger lately — more wins on the board than Stabaek.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 16%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Stabaek
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 3.39 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
2:3
Aug 10, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Stabaek
2:1
May 31, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Kongsvinger vs Stabaek
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 48 / 100
Stabaek 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kongsvinger scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Stabaek conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kongsvinger has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Stabaek
3.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
18 Oct
Kongsvinger
4 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
14 Oct
Stromsgodset
5 : 1
Kongsvinger
11 Oct
Kongsvinger
6 : 2
Ranheim
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek

(Away)
18 Oct
Asane
0 : 1
Stabaek
14 Oct
Stabaek
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
11 Oct
Stabaek
2 : 2
Strommen
03 Oct
Haugesund
2 : 0
Stabaek
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stromsgodset 27 18 6 3 76:33 60
2 Kongsvinger 27 18 5 4 81:42 59
3 Haugesund 27 19 2 6 78:45 59
4 Stabaek 27 16 4 7 64:34 52
5 Odds BK 27 13 6 8 54:41 45
6 Bryne 27 12 3 12 37:38 39
7 Hodd 27 11 5 11 47:53 38
8 Ranheim 27 10 5 12 68:67 35
9 Egersund 27 9 7 11 42:53 34
10 Strommen 27 9 6 12 48:59 33
11 Lyn 27 9 4 14 41:57 31
12 Moss 27 8 5 14 40:56 29
13 Sogndal 27 7 6 14 44:60 27
14 Sandnes Ulf 27 7 5 15 37:54 26
15 Asane 27 6 5 16 37:61 22
16 Raufoss 27 6 2 19 30:71 20
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)