Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Konnerud vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Kaba V. C.
86' Event
Haldorsen E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Konnerud
20%
Draws
47%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Baerum have won more games recently than Konnerud.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Baerum taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Konnerud Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Konnerud Baerum
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.58 3.14
Goals Conceded 2.96 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Konnerud vs Baerum
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Konnerud
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Konnerud Compare

Top Goalscorer Haldorsen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaba V. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Konnerud 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Konnerud Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Konnerud found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (24 games).

Konnerud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Konnerud VS Baerum
1.25 Goals Scored 4.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Konnerud

(Home)
12 Sept
Konnerud
3 : 2
Grei
05 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Konnerud
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
15 Aug
Gamle Oslo
7 : 1
Konnerud
07 Aug
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Konnerud
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Baerum

(Away)
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
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