Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Konyaspor vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Konyaspor play Aliaga in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Konyaspor averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Aliaga averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Konyaspor won 1, Aliaga won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 5, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Konyaspor and 1.69 for Aliaga. This points to a Konyaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Konyaspor
23%
Draws
36%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Konyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Konyaspor picked up more points recently compared to Aliaga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Konyaspor Clean Sheet 13%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Konyaspor Aliaga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.37 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Konyaspor vs Aliaga
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Konyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Muleka J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tasci T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aliaga Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Konyaspor 40 / 100
Aliaga 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Konyaspor Aliaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Konyaspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Konyaspor attacking → ← attacking Aliaga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Konyaspor scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Aliaga let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Konyaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aliaga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 52
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133