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Koper vs Aluminij - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Bonifika, Koper
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koper host Aluminij in the Prva liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Koper have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Aluminij's 0.9 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Koper have won 4 to Aluminij's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring Koper. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Koper
30%
Draws
19%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Koper come out ahead of Aluminij on wins alone.
  • Model gives Koper a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Koper have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Koper Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koper Aluminij
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.72 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Koper
0:1
May 9, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Aluminij
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Koper
2:4
Nov 22, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Aluminij
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Koper
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koper 85 / 100
Aluminij 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koper Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koper Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koper's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Koper went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aluminij's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Koper VS Aluminij
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Koper

(Home)
18 Oct
Koper
5 : 0
Grosuplje
10 Oct
Radomlje
3 : 3
Koper
03 Oct
Koper
2 : 1
Vicenza
02 Oct
Koper
1 : 0
Orijent
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Aluminij

(Away)
16 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 1
O. Ljubljana
10 Oct
Celje
1 : 0
Aluminij
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 12 6 6 0 21:9 24
2 Koper 12 6 4 2 19:11 22
3 Bravo 12 5 4 3 14:13 19
4 O. Ljubljana 12 5 3 4 14:11 18
5 Nafta 12 5 2 5 18:16 17
6 Celje 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
7 Aluminij 12 3 4 5 16:13 13
8 Mura 12 2 5 5 13:24 11
9 Grosuplje 12 3 2 7 15:25 11
10 Radomlje 11 1 4 6 14:23 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)