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Koper vs Maribor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Bonifika, Koper
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koper host Maribor in the Prva liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Maribor have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Koper have conceded 1 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Koper slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.38, favoring Koper. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Koper
30%
Draws
30%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koper lately — more wins on the board than Maribor.
  • Win probability leans Koper's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Koper Clean Sheet 17%
Maribor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koper Maribor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 13
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:0
Apr 14, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koper 36 / 100
Maribor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koper Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koper scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Maribor has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Koper went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koper VS Maribor
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Koper

(Home)
03 Oct
Koper
2 : 1
Vicenza
02 Oct
Koper
1 : 0
Orijent
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

Maribor

(Away)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)