Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koper vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Bonifika, Koper
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koper host Nafta in the Prva liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Koper have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Nafta's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Koper slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.38) back Koper to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Koper
20%
Draws
23%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Koper come out ahead of Nafta on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Koper taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Koper here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Koper Clean Sheet 17%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koper Nafta
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
1:5
Mar 1, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Nafta
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs Koper
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Prva liga
Koper vs Nafta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koper 48 / 100
Nafta 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koper Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koper Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Koper scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Koper went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koper VS Nafta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Koper

(Home)
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
28 Aug
Aluminij
0 : 1
Koper
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
16 Aug
Koper
0 : 0
Bravo
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
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Nafta

(Away)
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
15 Aug
Nafta
1 : 3
Celje
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
2 Koper 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Bravo 8 3 3 2 8:8 12
4 Celje 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
5 O. Ljubljana 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
6 Nafta 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
7 Aluminij 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
8 Mura 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
9 Grosuplje 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
10 Radomlje 7 1 2 4 8:13 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)