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Stadium Background

Korba vs Djelma

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Korba Logo

Korba

1 - 0
FT
Djelma Logo

Djelma

Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Karoui A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Korba in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Korba
20%
Draws
23%
Djelma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Korba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korba lately — more wins on the board than Djelma.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Korba taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Korba have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Korba Clean Sheet 20%
Djelma Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korba Djelma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Korba vs Djelma
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Korba
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Korba vs Djelma
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korba Compare

Top Goalscorer Karoui A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Djelma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korba 67 / 100
Djelma 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korba Djelma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djelma has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Korba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Djelma has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korba VS Djelma
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Korba

(Home)
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
22 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 0
Korba
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 6

Djelma

(Away)
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1
Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0
Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0
Djelma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)