Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Bouzid R.
62'
62'
Lachheb E.
82'
82'
Zaghdoud W.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Korba and Stade Gabesien finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stade Gabesien come out ahead of Korba on wins alone.
- Model gives Korba a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Korba Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korba | Stade Gabesien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 11 | 20 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Korba vs Stade Gabesien
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Korba
4:0
Feb 26, 2022 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Korba
0:0
Jan 22, 2022 Tunisia Cup
Korba vs Stade Gabesien
3:0
Nov 28, 2021 Ligue 2
Korba vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korba Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouzid R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaghdoud W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korba 59 / 100
Stade Gabesien 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korba Stade Gabesien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Korba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Korba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Korba found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Stade Gabesien has conceded goals in 51% of their last 35 outings.
Scoring Trends
Korba VS Stade Gabesien
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Korba
(Home) 12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1 Korba
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5 Korba
22 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 0 Korba
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0 Ariana
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0 Ariana
29 Mar
Korba
2 : 1 Jendouba Sport
22 Feb
Korba
0 : 0 Ksour Essef
01 Feb
Korba
3 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 3
Stade Gabesien
(Away) 30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
