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Korinthos vs Ermis Meligous Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Korinthos and Ermis Meligous finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Korinthos
20%
Draws
22%
Ermis Meligous
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Korinthos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Korinthos come out ahead of Ermis Meligous on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Korinthos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Korinthos Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korinthos Ermis Meligous
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.54 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Korinthos vs Ermis Meligous
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Korinthos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korinthos 42 / 100
Ermis Meligous 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korinthos Ermis Meligous

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Meligous has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Korinthos found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Korinthos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korinthos VS Ermis Meligous
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korinthos

(Home)
27 Sept
Ermis Kiveriou
2 : 2
Korinthos
08 Apr
Korinthos
2 : 0
Miltiadis
05 Apr
Zakynthos
3 : 0
Korinthos
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
28 Mar
Korinthos
3 : 3
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Meligous

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)