Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korinthos vs Pyrgos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Korinthos
15%
Draws
39%
Pyrgos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korinthos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pyrgos have won more games recently than Korinthos.
  • Korinthos are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pyrgos have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Korinthos Clean Sheet 10%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korinthos Pyrgos
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 22
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.77 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Korinthos vs Pyrgos
3:3
Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Korinthos vs Pyrgos
2:4
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Korinthos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korinthos 47 / 100
Pyrgos 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korinthos Pyrgos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korinthos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Korinthos found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Korinthos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pyrgos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korinthos VS Pyrgos
1.17 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korinthos

(Home)
08 Apr
Korinthos
2 : 0
Miltiadis
05 Apr
Zakynthos
3 : 0
Korinthos
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
28 Mar
Korinthos
3 : 3
Pyrgos
22 Mar
Panegialios FC
2 : 0
Korinthos
Page 1 of 6

Pyrgos

(Away)
18 Aug
Atromitos
3 : 1
Pyrgos
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Pyrgos
0 : 3
Zakynthos
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 27 21 3 3 57:12 66
2 Zakynthos 27 19 5 3 58:15 62
3 Panegialios FC 27 18 7 2 46:15 61
4 Korinthos 27 10 9 8 41:39 39
5 Miltiadis 27 9 7 11 34:36 34
6 Pelopas Kiatou 27 9 4 14 22:41 31
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)