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Korinthos vs Thyella Patras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Korinthos and Thyella Patras finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korinthos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Korinthos
20%
Draws
52%
Thyella Patras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thyella Patras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Korinthos come out ahead of Thyella Patras on wins alone.
  • Thyella Patras are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Korinthos Clean Sheet 20%
Thyella Patras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korinthos Thyella Patras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Korinthos vs Thyella Patras
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Thyella Patras vs Korinthos
2:2
Mar 16, 2008 Football League 2 - Group 1
Korinthos vs Thyella Patras
2:0
Sep 30, 2007 Football League 2 - Group 1
Thyella Patras vs Korinthos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korinthos 16 / 100
Thyella Patras 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korinthos Thyella Patras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thyella Patras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korinthos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Thyella Patras conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Korinthos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korinthos VS Thyella Patras
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Korinthos

(Home)
08 Apr
Korinthos
2 : 0
Miltiadis
05 Apr
Zakynthos
3 : 0
Korinthos
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
28 Mar
Korinthos
3 : 3
Pyrgos
22 Mar
Panegialios FC
2 : 0
Korinthos
Page 1 of 6

Thyella Patras

(Away)
08 Apr
Thyella Patras
1 : 1
Loutraki FC
05 Apr
Pangytheatikos
0 : 4
Thyella Patras
01 Apr
Thyella Patras
2 : 0
Panthouriakos
28 Mar
Thyella Patras
1 : 0
Panachaiki
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)