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Korofina vs Derby Academie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
31' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Korofina and Derby Academie finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Korofina
15%
Draws
46%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Korofina come out ahead of Derby Academie on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Korofina taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Korofina Clean Sheet 18%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korofina Derby Academie
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 14
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.07 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Derby Academie
2:3
Jun 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Derby Academie
2:0
Jan 26, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Korofina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korofina 36 / 100
Derby Academie 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korofina Derby Academie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korofina scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Derby Academie has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Korofina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korofina VS Derby Academie
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korofina

(Home)
02 Nov
Korofina
2 : 3
Derby Academie
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
10 Jun
Foot Elite
5 : 3
Korofina
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
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Derby Academie

(Away)
02 Nov
Korofina
2 : 3
Derby Academie
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Binga 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Derby Academie 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Bakaridjan 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Stade Malien 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Djoliba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Onze Createurs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Bougouba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Diarra 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 AS Kayes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 CS Bamako 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Korofina 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Foot Elite 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Real Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 USFAS Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)