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Stadium Background

Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce II host Biala Podlaska in the III Liga - Group IV. Little to choose between these two on current form. Korona Kielce II have averaged 1.9 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Biala Podlaska's 1.84 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Biala Podlaska slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.69) back Biala Podlaska to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Korona Kielce II
20%
Draws
29%
Biala Podlaska
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Biala Podlaska haven't matched Korona Kielce II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Korona Kielce II a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 13%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Biala Podlaska
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.84
Goals Conceded 2 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II
3:0
Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 40 / 100
Biala Podlaska 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Biala Podlaska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Biala Podlaska has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Korona Kielce II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Biala Podlaska
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 7

Biala Podlaska

(Away)
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 11 5 2 4 15:11 17
7 Jaroslaw 11 5 2 4 27:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 11 4 2 5 14:15 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
10 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
12 Wisla II 11 3 4 4 13:16 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)